It has been 30 years since the earthquake titled above. Early in the morning, I still remember a TV news reporting the complete destruction of the town of Kobe over looking there from a helicopter. Even though we have not had much quaking here several hundred km away from there, I knew it was a real big disaster. There were several places in flames in the downtown of Kobe. Over 6000 people were killed.
Considering of Eastern Japan Great Earthquake in 2011 together with this earthquake, our country is most likelily getting into an increased seismic activity at present. Now another big one, even bigger than that 30 years ago, named Nankai Trough Earthquake, is predicted to occur. Probability of 80 % in the coming 30 years. Surprisingly high. It would hit south eastern part of our country along the Pacific Ocean. In the worst case, 320,000 people would be killed. Over 9 million people should evacuate from their homeland. The predicted economic damage is thought to sum up to 169.5 trillion JPY. It would be a real national crisis.
But our governments, local and central, and related administration offices are quite slow preparing for that.
The natural disaster prevention related budget was 8 trillion JPY at max in 1997. It has been reduced down to 2 or 3 trillion JPY for the past 2 years. Even after the Eastern Japan Earthquake and Fukushima Nuclear Power plant disaster. The budget is only one fourth of the military expenditure. City of Osaka is a place predicted to have a large damage for both casualty and housing damage. They are still planning to hold the expo, which has cost so much money and is expected to go into the big red. Of course the most serious issue is the big number of casualty. The amouont of the expenditure by the government for damage prevention means they are not caring for that.
The other problem is that 2 nuclear power plants, one in Shizuoka, the other in Shikoku, may suffer from the earthquake and possibly from the consequent tsunami. The nuclear power plant in Shikoku is in operation. If it is hit by a big earthquake, the damage is beyond our imagination. It is nonsense to run nuclear power plants in this high seismic activity era. The authority permitting their operations and the power line company sticking to the operation only due to financial reason are quite irresponsible for the possible accidents.
Other than Nankai Trough, there are a lot of faults, either known or unknown, all over in our country. A big earthquake is predicted to hit directly the city of Tokyo with the same probability as Nankai Trough in the coming 30 years. The fault having caused the Eastern Japan big earthquake was previously totally unknown. It is ridiculous they are running nuclear power plants whereever they might be.
I only hope any big one would not hit our country in the near future. Hopefully, research in earthquake prediciton will progress and tell us its occurrence in more accuracy. The greedy government and the power line company executives should be replaced soon. In the end, the people should awake of this reality of crisis.